March 19, 2026: The world today is not the one Anutin Charnvirakul woke up in on February 9.
Even a few weeks or a few months before that, the benefit of the doubt accorded him was unprecedented. Everyone knew he did not have much power. Everyone was very forgiving when his government was seen as slow and clumsy during the big floods in the South. Most people were willing to ignore or play down charges of suspected “grey” business activities or minor corruption.
Supported by nearly 300 MPs as the new prime minister, it’s absolutely different now. Suspicion that the People’s Party had to endure before the February 8 general election will grind to a halt. It will be Anutin who will face the suspicion instead. He won big in the election despite the huge floods and major road accidents that spawned criticism against the government, but even a minor flood and small accident will pour him massive, long-lasting miseries now.
The above concerns many factors that he can’t control. But there are things that he can definitely control but political conditions will make it very tough. He will face the usual and dirty horse-trading that was temporarily absent when he was a “minority” prime minister whose reign would be short.
One wrong Cabinet appointment or perceived defence of the indefensible will smash his rating. One “improper” remark will no longer be treated as a joke, but people will consider it a bad taste. He and all Cabinet members must be damn sure every plot of land they own is rightful, not just legally but also ethically.
The military situation at the Thai-Cambodian border boosted his election campaign, but related border policies can turn against him now. Nationalism can only last so long. Many more things will have to be taken into account now that he has expanded authority.
Overtaking the People’s Party and Pheu Thai to become the biggest party is hard. But that is a walk in the park compared with what is certain to happen next.
Wrong if you think war overshadowed Oscars
March 18, 2026: Quite the opposite, the Iran war puts US film industry on the spot.
Why are people, Americans included, “losing interest” in the Academy Awards? The answer is in the name of this year’s Best Picture winner.
“One Battle After Another” is the impression they have concerning America, and the global feelings of frustration, of resignation, of dismay and of suspicion have spilled over from the Congress and White House to the superpower country’s perceived use of entertainment for hegemonic purposes.
That people are not watching the live telecast of this year’s award-giving ceremony doesn’t mean the Oscars is not being looked at intensely. The attention can be even bigger than before, in fact. Only this time the US movie industry is being increasingly viewed through different lenses.
There have been too many coincidences. Amid the unpopularity of the Vietnam war emerged a movie on heroic US soldiers captured and forced to play a Russian roulette by “barbaric” Vietnamese troops. The Deer Hunter easily won an Oscar. The fear of enigmatic Iran was compounded by another Oscar-winning movie, Argo. Saving Private Ryan did not reach the Oscar summit but it was talked about all over the world, helping ease the dangerous impression that the US government was sending young people to die and couldn’t care less.
Questions about “legacy media” were asked and Oscar-winning Spotlight curiously came along. The same went for Apollo 13 and World Trade Center when there were related real-life questions. Along the way, there have been countless films depicting the Russians as the bad guys and the only world-saving heroes are American. The movies didn’t win big awards but were immensely popular globally.
When people talked about innocent casualties in Iraq, Sniper was released. One memorable scene featured an American hero hesitating about shooting an Iraqi boy carrying an RPG.
There are even gossips that some big movie stars rose to fame on purpose, gloomed by big powers to help their political agendas both locally and internationally. Some actors or actresses who dared speaking up against the political status quo curiously fade from the centre stage.
Many world citizens grow up being told by movies who good guys, bad guys, demons and victims are. Make your movies the most popular among the world’s population and you rule the planet. Just make sure you market them well, choose the right plots and drum them into viewers’ subconsciousness.
America, many analysts believe, used to be exclusively and exceptionally good at it. The Avengers speak English and they primarily fend off attacks on big cities. War movies have American soldiers show sympathy toward the innocent and those films portray cruelty of locals toward them. Spy films made the enemies the bad guys and hence justified territorial violations by American heroes.
We watched the Russian roulette scene in The Deer Hunter and there is no way back in our prejudices toward the Vietcong. Argo is better at making people fear Iran than scores of western editorials combined. The Martian is among plenty of movies that put an indelible idea into our heads that America respect human lives and won’t leave a single one of its citizens behind.
The Oscars is a big part of all that. Call it a coincidence if you like, but this year’s local TV rating of the presentation event has fallen remarkably and you must be an unrivalled movie fan if you know 70% of which awards went to whom just a few days ago.
Natthaphong must stand down
March 17, 2026: Everyone but the People’s Party can have a shot at the premiership after February 8.
Orange leaders, don’t even think about it. Stand down so you can stand tall ideologically. You support a political system in which a majority matters more than anything else. To get in Bhumjaithai’s way, albeit just to spite it or unleash a meaningless parting shot, is tantamount to trampling on a system you have told everybody you so value.
Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut, the party leader, needs to present his visions to the public, the Orange says, trying to justify his “nomination”. He has done that. He had weeks of election campaign to do just that. If the People’s Party still thinks he has to do more, call a press conference or set up its own stage and let him speak whatever he thinks he has not yet said. Or buy a newspaper ad or TV airtime. Or put it on its own website. Do anything except nominating Natthaphong for the parliamentary voting to elect the prime minister.
It’s not against any rule even for a small party to seek the premiership. But it’s against everything the People’s Party says it stands for. And the People’s Party thrives on public beliefs that it always stands firm regarding what it advocates.
It’s not a crime for anybody else to vie for the top post, no matter how unrealistic it looks. To the People’s Party, it will be bigger than a crime.
The party did not lose the general election by just a few seats. Bhumjaithai won it convincingly in a landslide. The Orange lost then but it does not have to lose again by attempting to play the kind of politics it told everyone it despised.
How to debunk ‘death’ rumours
March 16, 2026: At a time when AI can do anything, don’t post a video to refute gossips that you’re dead.
Yes, it’s a wartime when you have to be extra-careful about your whereabouts, and smallest irregularities like unusual absence can spark huge rumours. But “Netanyahu has been killed” whispers have gone so viral that the Israeli government needs to respond, not jokingly or sarcastically, but seriously.
Posting a video of him sipping coffee is not the way to do it. That only increases suspicion. “Look at the cup. It’s full to the brim and the level doesn’t change after he has sipped it” was one of the most common reactions to the video. There is also the matter of holding a hot paper cup without a cup sleeve.
Other skeptics commented that visiting a coffee shop looking clean-cut like being in the middle of a vacation is not what the leader of a country at war should behave. “You can go to a coffee shop but not a high-level military meeting?” one asked.
Just call three or four reporters from big-name international media outlets and let them take your picture. That would put anything untrue to rest for good.
One blow after another
March 15, 2026: The authorities’ message on the People’s Party sounds technical, but its political implications can be far-reaching.
The Department of Provincial Administration has distanced itself largely from the party’s online recruitment of public membership, cancelling the party’s use of the government’s identification verification system from now on. This follows the party’s admission last week that its online information storage which contained ID card photos and numbers along with some other data has been breached.
It is not immediately clear how much information has been stolen and how many members are affected. The party suggested that ID card information of tens of thousands of subscribers could be at risk, but that the hackers do not have the crucial “laser ID” numbers at the back of the card. Those numbers allow greater access to private, financial information that can be abused by scammers.
Some critics claim the stolen information involved more than one hundred thousand members, not “tens of thousands” as the party says. Also, the critics asked why the laser ID information was not stolen, since it is among items that the party requested from membership applicants along with the more public numbers at the front of the card.
The party’s request for laser ID numbers became a big controversy after the February 8 general election, with critics asking why that was necessary, since front numbers alone should have been sufficient. The uproar prompted the People’s Party to stop requesting laser ID information from membership applicants.
The request for laser ID had always been on the People’s Party’s membership application homepage, but it became a major issue after pro-Orange activists and party leaders themselves raised privacy questions concerning election ballots, saying barcodes and QR codes on the ballots would undermine privacy of the voting.
The Department of Provincial Administration’s announcement could pave the way for, or increase the magnitude of, legal action as political parties are under strict privacy rules, analysts say. But they note that the party may have to deal with political impact first because the department’s move and the earlier admission of the party are adding to a credibility trouble which has been rocking the People’s Party since a few months ago.
The department’s announcement is strongly-worded in a technical way. It mentions penalties for ID information abuses, (possible) punishment of private information holders who allow information to be abused, and the possibility of worried people seeking new ID cards.
War raises ‘false flag’ worries
March 14, 2026: Harming yourself to frame, and make others hate, your enemy is a trick that never gets old.
We have seen it at all levels. The bad girls in soap operas all do it. It’s a key plot in a few Dan Brown movies and books. In Thailand, politicians bomb their own houses in order to get elected through sympathy votes. The term “false flag” originated in ancient times, actually, although the deception operation was not as malicious as today’s.
In the 16th Century, “false flag” referred to when a vessel flew the flag of a neutral or enemy country to hide its true identity. According to Wikipedia, the tactic was initially used by pirates to deceive other ships into allowing them to move closer before attacking them. It later was deemed an acceptable practice during naval warfare according to international maritime laws, provided the attacking vessel displayed its true flag before starting an attack.
“False flag” later morphed into something more ungentlemanly and evil. “The term today extends to include countries that organize attacks on themselves and make the attacks appear to be by enemy nations or terrorists, thus giving the nation that was supposedly attacked a pretext for domestic repression or foreign military aggression (as well as to engender sympathy),” said Wikipedia. Such attacks can be small or massively devastating depending on the ultimate objectives.
US federal authorities have issued a stark warning to law enforcement agencies across the West Coast regarding a potential airborne strike. A few days ago, the FBI alerted officials in California and neighbouring states about a potential drone threat. This has caused both anxiety and skepticism.
Thousands of internet users immediately questioned the federal alert. One of the examples is a tweet that said explicitly: “I’m not afraid of California being attacked by Iran. I’m afraid of somebody I know attacking California and blaming it on Iran.”
Due to such paranoia among Americans, the phrase “false flag” has been trending online.
Bluffing media content as well as news cover-ups or blackouts have been rampant in the Iran war. These are factors that can spawn false flag operations.
Over the past few days, there have been multiple attacks on American military assets and economic interests across Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates. Iran has claimed it was responsible for some of them, calling it legitimate military actions. Blurrier pictures have emerged in an attack on a NATO base in Turkey, carried out under ambiguous circumstances. The same thing can be said about bombing in civilian areas that were apparently attacked by Iranian-style drones.
Sceptics say motives for a false flag are all aplenty. The wrongdoers may be wanting to drag more countries into the war. Or they may want to give a sinking image a boost. If carried out efficiently, a false flag can be as strategically effective as it is politically worthy. Covert tactics that draw sufficient political and strategic support to your side can even determine the outcome of the war.
All World Cup eyes on Spain
March 13, 2026: The World Cup without Spain is The Avengers without the Iron Man.
US President Donald Trump can live without Iran when his country hosts the world’s great sporting extravaganza later this year, but if Spain boycotts, it will crush him like nothing else can.
Last year, the Spanish government suggested that a Spain no-show was possible if Israel qualified and would thus participate. While that condition is no longer a worry, new factors have emerged, namely the joint US-Israel strikes that sparked the Iran war, the bombing of the Minab girl school and, last but not least, how Donald Trump spoke of Spain just days ago.
Speaking at the White House earlier this month, Trump said Spain had been "terrible" and suggested "we're going to cut off all trade" because "We don't want anything to do with Spain." Whether it was justified anger or toys-out-of-the-pram Trump characteristic didn’t matter much. Spain and America have been drifting apart when it comes to defense spending, Gaza, and Washington’s attempts to use military bases on Spanish soils.
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has called the US and Israel's attacks on Iran an "unjustified, dangerous military intervention" in violation of international law. He is being deemed a peace-loving hero who does not fear crossing Trump despite being a European leader. All the praises are at the expense of the US president, of course.
Spain is currently first in FIFA ranking, above reigning champion Argentina even. France is third.
The trade with America is huge (Last year, the US exported roughly $26bn worth of goods to Spain and imports from the country amounted to about $21bn), but the World Cup is deadly important. All things considered, Spain is holding better cards, smiling inside while Trump is doing all the bluffing.
US poll: many Americans link war to Epstein files
March 12, 2026: Politicians treat mockery as background noise, but “Operation Epstein Fury” should really worry Donald Trump.
A Drop Site News poll probably indicates that “Operation Epstein Fury” is much more than just a mockery. It shows that some 52% of potential voters in America suspect that “President Trump was at least partly motivated to take military action against Iran in order to distract from the Jeffrey Epstein scandal.” More than 81% of Democrats agree with that statement whereas it was 26% when it comes to the Republicans. About 52% of independent or third-party supporters support the theory.
Drop Site News apparently did not state how specifically far-reaching its survey was, but it is an emerging media group with generally-recognised credibility and prestige, having been instrumental in breaking major political scandals in America and compared positively to well-known establishments like The Washington Post, CNN and The New York Times. The poll was called a national survey.
Said Drop Site News: “Overwhelmingly, voters believe the war will make their lives worse. The survey was in the field before the wild volatility in the oil market, but even then, 49% of voters said the war will make my life more difficult’ compared to just 10% who said they’d see an improvement.”
The poll found a worrisome public attitude toward politicians and candidates who support the war or support emergency supplemental funding for the war, which Trump has requested, although, again, the division along party lines is obvious. For Democratic voters, any candidate who supports the war will be badly punished by primary voters in the 2026 congressional elections, with voters saying they’d be 79% less likely to support them, a number that held roughly the same for 2028 presidential candidates. Republicans, however, would be more likely to support a pro-war candidate by a net 39 points, with only 20% saying it would make them less likely to back the candidate for president.
Very interesting, though, is the apparent downplaying, or ignorance, or blackout in America, when it comes to the Minab school bombing in Iran. Whatever the cause(s), a full 32% said they had heard nothing at all, and another 23% said they had heard “a little.” Some 29% said they’d heard “some,” and 16% had heard “a lot.”
The joint Drop Site/Zeteo/Data For Progress national survey has been done at a time when many American newscasters, commentators and media influencers are admitting that they are seeing one thing they never saw before, a sizeable group of US citizens rooting for a country at war with their own nation.
The poll’s findings are also a strong indication that if the war was meant, at least partially, to make people forget about the Epstein files, it’s having a totally opposite effect.
Is anti-EC campaign losing momentum?
March 11, 2026: While newly-elected Orange MPs might have no other choice, their parliamentary “parade” the other day was still a bad idea.
Photos of them arriving at Parliament in a proud manner have gone viral for all the wrong reasons. The pictures have been mocked by the conservatives who are asking what happens now to the young pro-Orange activists trying to question the February 8 general election, with some accused of breaching the law in the process.
Granted, failing to register their election wins could lead to unwanted consequences. The Recount activists can understand that, but they also can live without the photo op event at Parliament earlier this week.
“What do we do now? Go home?” a conservative captioned a Photoshopped image featuring the parliamentary parade on one side and a group of young activists on the other. One comment below the Facebook image said: “Don’t be disheartened, kids. Wait four years and you will be their election candidates. Now let the older ones have their days first.”
Rivals of the People’s Party will laugh at the “humour”, whereas it’s unfair sarcasm, an insult even, if ones are the camp’s supporters. One truth remains, though: The anti-EC campaign is losing strength with the proud smiles and orderly manner of the would-be MPs.
The Orange politicians can’t win, can they? Doing something unorthodox at Parliament makes them “disrespectful”, but trying to conform with a post-election culture beautifully and they are “hypocritical” all of a sudden.
The oil crisis “minor glitch”
March 10, 2026: Even if Iran was a real “terrorist state”, the current petroleum shortage still wouldn’t have happened but for the past 10 days.
So, when US President Donald Trump called the severe shortage rocking the world a “minor glitch” that wouldn’t last long, he omitted one crucial truth: The supply would have remained uninterrupted if he and his Israeli allies had decided to deal with Iran diplomatically instead of militarily.
The world is hoping he is right about the “minor glitch” assumption, which was given at a news programme. This does not mean the world wanted to see him prevail, though. Rather, everyone just wants oil production and transport to return to pre-war normalcy, regardless of whether Iran was developing a nuclear war technology or not or whether it was “sponsoring terrorism” or not.
In the same statement, Trump called the current situation “a little detour” that the entire world needed. That detour, according to various American analysts themselves, features a Middle East political architecture that will never be the same, unpredictable economic systems that will never be the same, and alliances or blocs based on immediate vested interest, not moral values or good long-term visions for mankind.
Last but not least, that “little detour” features an oil crisis that seems to be spiraling out of control instead of de-escalating. The economic, social and political effects of that crisis are being felt throughout the world and are currently nowhere near subsiding.
If recent US polls are any indication, most Americans would rather see Iran being left alone even if it was genuinely a “terrorist state.” If most Americans think that, you don’t need to ask the rest of the world.
Nothing will match Mojtaba Khamenei’s motivations
March 9, 2026: An angered son succeeding his slain father. Nobody needs to be a geopolitical expert to see what’s next.
A CNN analyst called the appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new supreme leader a “very bad sign”, and Donald Trump is reportedly “unhappy” with it.
Maybe “unhappy” is far too soft a word. Let’s put it this way: Even if they were equally old and equally built, Trump would not go into the same ring with Mojtaba Khamenei.
The US president had inexplicably said he wanted to have a say in creating the new Iranian leadership. But after repeatedly demonising Mojtaba Khamenei’s father and bombing his country multiple times, making some 160 schoolgirls die instantly in the process, the appointment of the new supreme leader is Iran saying “You must be having a laugh.”
We have seen, in the Philippines for example, what a political assassination can do to even ordinary family members, not someone who has reportedly had a behind-the-scenes political role. This is a son who lost their parents because of the United States and Israel and who knows for certain that the enemies will target him like his father if he does not stay away from the all-important succession.
Mojtaba’s wife and, reportedly, one of his children, were also killed on the first day of the joint US-Israeli war.
This is what Trump who, along with Israel, killed his father, who the president called “one of the most evil persons in history”, said: “He’s going to have to get approval from us.” Trump told ABC News on Sunday, hours after news of the son’s selection emerged that if Mojtaba didn’t get approval from him, “he’s not going to last long. We want to make sure that we don’t have to go back every 10 years, when you don’t have a president like me that’s not going to do it.”
Time said the younger Khamenei enjoyed the same close support that his father had maintained with the Revolutionary Guards, which has issued a statement pledging "deep respect, total loyalty and absolute obedience" for the new supreme leader.
“The Guards aren’t just fighting for proxy groups or missiles, they are fighting for their very existence,” another analyst based in Tehran, who spoke on condition of anonymity, was quoted by Time as saying. The analyst said a lot more, but what should disturb Trump the most was the following (although it’s a fact that everyone knows):
“Mojtaba didn’t lose just a father on that day, he lost a mother, a wife and a child. He is filled with an undying desire for revenge, and the Guards know this.”
One photo that cancels out all war rhetoric
March 7-8, 2026: Aren’t wars supposed to be fought to prevent the kind of things in the above picture?
Just about a week in and every piece of rhetoric about wars has disintegrated before our eyes.
Forget about “Sometimes wars are for a greater good.” Forget about “We wage wars for women and children.” No greater good is there for the families of those in the coffins. And were women crying their hearts out and children unhappy at the Minab neighbourhood before some politicians half the world away decided to make lives in their country “great again”?
We all grow up being taught that wars are necessary evil, that sometimes you have to kill for a good cause. Truth is the Minab school bombing had been unnecessary until some remote political leaders sipping coffee in their command rooms said otherwise. And now that it has happened, a lot of excuses and explanations are being made to justify or have the world come to terms with the mass killings of schoolgirls. Some people are trying to make the facility’s location a bigger controversy than the explosion itself, which is a crying shame.
US midterm elections can be weirdest
March 6, 2026: One online joke is that no matter who US voters pick as their leader, they always end up with Benjamin Netanyahu.
That joke will get louder near the US midterm elections late this year, although voters will this time elect just MPs and senators, not the president.
It will be a very strange midterm. Donald Trump won the presidential election in 2024 on an “America first” platform, vowing to stay away from costly military conflicts overseas. His Republican Party will now compete with the opponents he used to chastise for delving into unnecessary armed conflicts who now are frowning upon the Iran war.
Talk about role reversal. Talk about voters' ambivalence.
Everyone will have to walk a tightrope. The Republicans will say the war is “necessary”, and the high costs are an unavoidable price to pay. The Democrats will avoid discussing Israeli influences over American politics, but will focus instead on how Trump wields powers and escapes congressional scrutiny in the process. Voters, knowing full well that both parties are not that different when it comes to Israel, will grit their teeth and vote to snub Trump in case they don’t like the US involvement in the war.
A Reuters poll conducted after the start of military operations suggests that only about a quarter of Americans approve of Trump’s decision to go to war. More interesting and worrisome for Trump is that only 55 percent of Republicans agreed with him. When George W Bush invaded Iraq in 2003, more than 90 per cent of Republican citizens supported it.
Low domestic support for the Iran war is not Trump's only worry. Some influential right-wing figures with online following of millions have openly criticised his administration's stand. Mainstream media outlets have also stated that anti-Israel sentiment in America is becoming more and more nonpartisan.
Said Al Jazeera: “Midterm elections have historically served as referendums on the sitting president and his party. All members of the House face voters every two years, and the president’s party almost always loses seats in midterm cycles, especially when a president’s approval rating is below 50 percent. Trump, whose approval rating has hovered between 36 percent and 38 percent, recently became the first president ever with a sub-50 percent approval rating in both his first term and during the first year of his second term.”
To sum the above up: It can be very bad for Trump late this year.
Don't make it US Crusades
March 5, 2026: Warriors in the past didn’t fight for oil, didn’t have hegemonic aspirations and didn’t care about geopolitics.
So, what’s happening in the Middle East and beyond right now is not about promised land anymore, no matter how some political leaders are trying to make many people think that way. And that’s why some reported remarks by American unit commanders are worrisome.
According to The Young Turks, a fairly-unorthodox and hard-hitting American media team with a YouTube subscribed following of almost 6.5 million, one US commander has told non-commissioned officers that the war with Iran was holy.
While we can give Israeli troops the benefit of the doubt, meaning some of them may be really fighting for religious things they have believed in for a long, long time, for American soldiers to be made to think that the war is part of God’s plan and Donald Trump “was anointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran to cause Armageddon and mark his return to Earth” is an absolute nonsense.
To begin with, Trump said himself that it was about (alleged) nuclear, although it somehow morphed into oppression and regime change later. Nothing he said was ever about bringing Jesus back.
Complaints about religious drives have been nowhere near overwhelming in America, but the idea that the current war is God’s divine plan has spread in dozens of military units and installations across the superpower country. It’s worrying enough to make TYT highlight the subject and the network’s clip on it has been watched by over 624,000 people in just one day.
How many years were the Crusaders preoccupied with Jerusalem? And it is just a small piece of land with no petroleum and strategic significance. A modern-day Crusade is very unlikely, but that doesn’t mean some people are not trying to make the current exchange of missiles look like one.
Minab school bombing changes complexion of everything
March 4, 2026: If attacks on Iran were meant to keep a global status quo, the opposite is happening real fast.
A major accelerator is the Minab girls' school massacre. While the shortage of oil and Iranian bombing of facilities on countries Tehran is not at war with have tainted the Iranian image, those of the United States and Israel are taking bigger hits.
Whereas the mainstream western media have largely played down the school deaths, things of that magnitude can never escape world public attention. Pictures of small coffins and freshly-dug graves lining up waiting to be filled with bodies are extremely impactful and have gone viral. One American has commented on YouTube that he or she had woken up to find out that his or her country was now “the most hated”.
That may be an overstatement. First of all, who did the bombing is a question not yet settled. Let alone why.
But amid all the arguments regarding the responsibility for the little girls’ deaths, one thing is undeniable: They would have still lived had it not been for the “preventative attacks” which caused everything to spiral out of control.
It doesn’t matter who wins in the end, and how quickly the end will come. The world will never be the same. History will be reviewed. Global citizens will change long-established opinions on who the heroes and villains of the world are. The relevance of the United Nations will be questioned like never before. Minab deaths may even influence governments’ decision when it comes to choosing which side to take.
Piyabutr bombshell latest Orange setback
March 3, 2026: It’s not his departure from the People’s Party, but “how” he left it.
Piyabutr Saengkanokkul has been a respected figure at the party, a spiritual guide if you will. But with or without his presence, the party was functioning unaffected. Many supporters, rivals and critics of the Orange party have not said much about him, actually, and his name only returned to the news during the election campaign when the People’s Party needed all the help it could get.
So, it should have been that whether he stays or goes does not matter much. It’s not the case, apparently. His “goodbye” this week has come in the form of an online message that sharply criticised the party. Just when it needed a “Keep going, my dear colleagues” sort of sad but inspiring farewell, the People’s Party got a stinging parting shot.
He said “no theory for a mass party that I have studied” favoured free-for-all operations and taught that groups of alphas were unnecessary. This is a subtle remark, as the People’s Party certainly has its own leadership structure. He might be referring to the existence of “spiritual leaders” whose political roles have been limited by legal bans.
Those “spiritual leaders” were active just before February 8 but, by and large, they had kept a low profile. Piyabutr’s comment suggested that they did not get the respect they deserved within the Orange apparatus. The remark indicated he he was sulking.
Not only that. The “farewell” lambasted leading People’s Party members lashing out against one another on a weekly basis. Disagreement is common within such a big organisation, he admitted, but adding that it should have been dealt with within its walls, and any public comment should have come after thorough internal debates and considerations.
There’s more. Piyabutr’s post said “the mass party theory” never favoured a caste system that virtually elevates senior members into some kind of elite. He said the party must never become “a vehicle” for anyone’s hidden purpose to get a higher status. (Whom he was referring to is the million dollar question. Was he attacking certain leaders? Or was he talking about some that sought to be the party's election candidates?)
Also, he bemoaned poorly-planned decentralization of party powers that made some satellite units “uncontrollable”.
Last but not least, the screening. He said it wouldn’t help if the party had a large number of members but they did not have its core ideology in their blood. Election candidates and those rejected as election candidates are also a focus on his criticism.
He said now that he had done all he could for the party, he would now concentrate on writing and giving lectures. Such a “farewell” was not his first, but it was the last thing the People’s Party needed after February 8.
American logic
March 2, 2026: Can you shoot a man because you think he’s strong or will be strong enough to harm you?
It’s different from shooting a man fearing he will imminently rob you. That’s preemption, and what matters is whether he was actually plotting to do so or not.
Shooting a man because he has the capacity to hurt you _ he may have acquired a gun or is planning to definitely buy it, and everybody knows he has been hating you for ages _ is different. Yes, he may have got or will get a gun. Yes, he has been heard cursing you. But no, you are not fearing he “will” hurt you. You are just fearing he “might” hurt you maybe two years from now.
So far, “Iran might …” is the American logic behind the attack that started it all. Several reports quoting US intelligence information itself said no evidence has been found indicating an imminent Iranian aggression toward the United States. What matters in this case, therefore, is the question whether Donald Trump’s White House can strike Iran and wipe out its leaders without consulting Congress.
Trump’s supporters are asking what’s wrong with removing a potential threat. Critics are saying that anyone can have suspicion, and if you can kill someone based on suspicion alone, anybody can kill anybody and what we have is a full-blown anarchy, and by this logic, Russia justifiably invaded Ukraine because of fear that the smaller country would one day become a threat, with NATO obviously supporting it.
The US Constitution and laws are vague about wars and military actions that could protect American interest. A full-scale war absolutely needs congressional approval, whereas the president has powers to go unilateral when it comes to lesser military plots to protect the country. (This is also a big subject for debate, because while it might allow America to attack others without declaring a war, the Cambodian government, for example, cannot send warplanes to Thailand and tell the world it just wanted to bomb a military base that might cause Cambodia problems in the future.)
With the consequences of Trump’s decision now threatening to endanger the world’s stability, he has obviously embarked on something as big as declaring a war (even from Trump’s own words, it’s not an in-and-out secret military operation), many people are saying Congress should have been consulted.
It’s a hair-splitting legal exercise in the United States. Justifiable fear? Unfounded fear? Thinly-veiled claims designed to re-engineer the political structure of a major Muslim country? And so far, previous tweets of Trump have not even come into play yet. Unmistakable records show him predicting online that former presidents would be using military actions against other countries to boost or re-boost their local popularities. What Trump had said earlier, that it would be a crying shame if those presidents did not consult the Congress, will come back to haunt him.
Meanwhile, Thailand’s major opposition party is urging “restoration of world order” and respect for international law.
The People’s Party was apparently the first Thai political camp to indirectly criticise the attacks on Iran by America and Israel and Tehran’s response. The inexplicable strikes on Iran, which led to global criticism against the superpower and its major ally and widespread legal debate in the United States on whether an American political leader has illegally put country and world interest in danger, and the Iranian reaction are fanning fears of a big multi-national war.
The Orange party’s carefully-crafted statement did not openly call out Washington and Israel, but, in it, the party all but pointed out that the world order was being dangerously twisted. The party stated that the UN Charter needs to be respected in a world simmering with high geopolitical tension. This is a subtle criticism of the United States, which should be responsible for keeping that tension at a manageable level, not heightening it.
“Amid extremely-high and uncertain geopolitical tension, to be firm on the world order based on international rules of the UN Charter, and to respect all sovereignties equally will be a great shield,” the People’s Party’s statement said. It added that Thailand would benefit from that kind of respect.
The statement calls for measures to ensure safety of Thai nationals and immediate ceasefire.
When mask comes off, there’s no putting it back
March 1, 2026: Fear and respect can co-exist, but most of the time the former cancels out the latter.
Most of the time you can’t have it both ways. You can’t have the Bible on one hand and gun on the other. You can’t kill and turn a blind eye to the sufferings of countless innocents and then succeed in convincing people that you love peace.
You can’t activate warplanes, deploy aircraft carriers, drop bombs or launch missiles and seek the Nobel Peace Prize. You can’t call others “dictators” when you yourself don’t ask those who matter around you.
You can’t rule by fear and tell everyone you are a nice guy. You can’t call yourself democratic when the most fundamental part of democracy is kept in the dark while you carry out your secret agendas. You can't pretend to care about some but ignore others when they all are basically the same.
You of all the people must know all of the above. You have just made a definite choice to remove all the doubts about your image. What the world is gaping at is you saying “No more respect? Fine, then so be it. How about this?”
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