Worst case is nearly 32,000 COVID-19 infections daily – Thai research indicates

Thailand’s COVID-19 infections could reach nearly 32,000 cases per day in October, in a worst case scenario in which people do not comply with lockdown measures, said the spokesperson for the Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) today (Monday), citing research by a Thai professor at Mahidol University.

According to the research, by Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nuanchan Singkran of the Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, using data up to July 17th, 2021, if nothing is done to address the current spread of the coronavirus, daily new cases could reach 31,977 in the fourth quarter of this year. The best case scenario is 9,018 – 12,605 infections per day. The predicted average is 9,695 – 24,204 new infections per day.

In the worst case, daily infections may rise to 22,000 in August and September, but if vaccination rate goes according to plan, the figure may be in the 10,000 – 15,000 range, said CCSA Spokesperson Dr. Taweesin Visanuyothin.

Urging everyone to comply with the new CCSA measures, taking effect on Tuesday, July 20th, especially staying at home, Dr. Taweesin said the measures are designed to “limit travel and commutes”, while acknowledging the inconveniences caused. “Please stay at your place unless necessary,” he added.

Thailand recorded another new high of infections today of 11,784 cases and 81 deaths. Eight more clusters were found, at a metal factory in Samut Sakhon, a shopping mall in Chon Buri’s Bang Lamung district, a plastics factory in Pathum Thani’s Thanyaburi district, Nonthaburi’s Sin Thong market, a furniture factory in Chachoengsao’s Ban Pho district, a salt market in Sa Kaeo, a shopping mall in Lopburi and at a chicken processing plant in Phatthalung province.


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